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YouTube · Data study

Why YouTube Videos Go Viral: 1,019 Outliers vs Normal Videos From the Same Channel

74%

of viral videos made a different promise

The short answer

We compared 1,019 viral videos (5× or more their channel’s usual views) with a normal video from the same channel. In 74% of the pairs we checked by hand, the viral video made a different promise. In 26% there was no visible difference at all. Some of it is luck.

What the viral video promised that the normal one didn’t (145 hand-checked pairs)
A practical how-to13%
The complete version14%
A bigger name14%
Higher stakes15%
A broader topic17%
No visible difference26%

share of pairs

01

Broader beats deeper

A sleep channel’s video on the entire history of Area 51 got 177× its normal views. The video next to it, the entire history of the British Empire, had the same format, the same music and the same voice.

More people are curious about a secret base than about a history class they half remember.

What to do

Ask whether your next video can be about something more people already care about.

02

Names, stakes and the complete version

An animated summary of Atomic Habits got 16.7× its channel’s usual views, made exactly like that channel’s other summaries. A creator who uploaded once a week for a year and shared the results got 50.8×. A compilation of old Halloween commercials got 14.8×.

What to do

Name something people know, put something on the line, or make the version that means nobody needs another video after yours.

04

The titles barely differed

Viral and normal titles were the same length, 61 characters. Viral titles used a few more numbers and words like “most” and “best”, but only by a few points.

What to do

The promise matters more than the title formula. Write the promise in the plainest words you can.

From my channel

How to Go Viral on YouTube Like MrBeast, Explained in 241 Seconds
How to Go Viral on YouTube Like MrBeast, Explained in 241 Seconds

How I did it

We found 1,019 videos with at least 5× their channel’s median views and paired each with a normal video from the same channel. 150 pairs were checked by hand (145 after removing noise) for what the viral video promised differently.

The limits

Hand-tagging is a judgment call, and 145 pairs is a sample. The categories describe the pairs; they don’t prove the promise caused the views.

Questions

What makes a YouTube video go viral?

In this data, mostly the promise: a broader topic, higher stakes, a bigger name, the complete version or a practical how-to. A quarter of viral videos had no visible reason.

Is going viral on YouTube luck?

Partly. In 26% of hand-checked pairs, the viral and normal video looked the same. You can’t control that part, so give yourself more chances.